Let’s Think About Weather.
From the point of view of the fossil fuel agrichemical corporations it is an obvious necessity to install and instil doubts in the minds of the general public as to the whole science of this “possible global warming phenomena”. And that’s their pitch.
The fossil fuel – agrochemical marketers proclaim that “if inaccuracies are rampant in the science of climate change, we should learn more about the phenomena before serious action is taken.”
Doubt is an easily marketed argument to keep the agrochemical / fossil fuel businesses, in business. So the facts and discussions are steered to become a matter of semantics.
The physics, the chemistry, the thermodynamics. and the effects of the shape of the Earth orbit, and the influence of our proximity to the moon, the mass of the sun and the energy we receive from our Sun – all these things, these facts, are known and totally understood.
But the “science of global warming”, the fossil fuel marketing gurus like to expand to include the concept that it should and must have firm answers for all the inter-related variables. And that’s obviously impossible.
We have difficulty in picking the winner in a horse race. There is always enormous uncertainty. But what we can do, and with almost infallible certainty is predict “that most of the good horses will be up the front and most of the bad horses will be down the back.” That you can bet on and maybe loose once every blue moon.
When the optical characterises of the atmosphere has been altered by increasing the atmosphere content of the greenhouse gases, carbon dioxide and just recently – the last few years- methane, we know with absolute certainty that temperatures will rise – on average – throughout the biosphere until a new stability emerges. And – to complicate the issue further – it’s only if the atmospheric content of these gases, themselves stabilize.
It is therefore obvious that predicting future weather specifically, and in hundreds of locations, is just not possible. But we definitely and successfully can in a broad and general way.
Consider as an example- wildfires (“Bushfires” in Australia) can be triggered by all too many absolutely unpredictable human events. Maybe a camp-fire in Australia got out of control, a huge fire developed, then the smoke from such a fire could easily drift across the Pacific and then alter weather events in half of South America. Well, that has happened, but never could it ever be predicted. And it wasn’t.
Even the politics of a country can influence weather across oceans and across continents.
Even with no nuclear weapons, wars can influence weather. But sadly, and frighteningly, wars using nuclear weapons are now, most definitely, on the cards.
So – very specific weather? It’s almost anybody’s guess. Over-all phenomena however, we can accurately predict.
(I’m writing, now as at January 2023 about the oceans and sea levels. And they are tricky, but also fascinating and now very, very frightening.)
As at 23/1/23 and as requested I’m assembling for you a “what to hammer list” of the basic ideas and concepts in my assembled solution to our biosphere’s rapid overheating.
Nutshell reminder list of what we need people to know and understand – especially people who construct the laws we have to live by.
1 Per unit of power produced, coal, oil and natural gas kill over 500 times more people than die from either wind or nuclear or solar. And that’s with the two nuclear bombs that ended WW2 included.
2 Cease all government subsidies to the fossil fuels and agrochemical industries.
3 Convert the air’s carbon overload (existing as carbon dioxide) into soil humus and doing so by any means selected or invented by the farmer. And pay them at least US$10 per ton – carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2-eq) for that removal. It’s the cheapest way to remove it. The quantity removed, however has to be easily and accurately measured. Or nothing happens. The Yeomans Methodology solves that problem. Read it. One farmer’s comment was – “It’s simply unfettered common sense“.
The existing carbon dioxide overload is enough to keep the biosphere heating for decades. Its therefore imperative that we in Australia demand that our federal government use the existing “Carbon Farming Initiative Act 2011” to approve the Yeomans Methodology to create Australian Carbon Credits. Businesses, organisations and governments around the world could use the Methodology to create their own carbon credits and so demonstrate to all, the methodology’s enate practicality.
4 To be clear we are defining “humus” as those molecules that are created from the final breakdown of soil life in the presence of air and water. Humus molecules are also huge – they can have molecular weights in the millions. They have long life-spans – up to thousands of years. In soil they are almost chemically inert. We also include as “humus” soil organic matter that will pass through a 2 mm sieve without any prior grinding. That means the material must have decomposed to the point where it is no longer a fibrous material.
5 In the air, methane gas is 225 to 350 time worse a greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide.
6 Fracking is the process of forcing high-pressure liquids deep into the earth to fracture the rock structures and so release trapped oil and gas. That is oil and gas that’s been safely trapped, usually for millions of years.
7 Apply continuous and enormous monitory penalties to “Fugitive Gas” (methane) discharges that mining companies are constantly releasing into the atmosphere.
8 Ammonia liquid will be, and must be the primary fuel for all our portable energy requirements. It’s the only sane choice we have that we don’t have to grow on farm land, such as ethanol.
9 Ammonia is easy and cheap to produce from air and water and electricity. And now possibly from air and water and strong blue light. Also, ammonia is safer to handle than either gas, or oil, or coal.
( My mother always had a bottle of ammonia in the kitchen to clean the bench top. It’s safe stuff)